{"data":{"aturan":{"hujan_30_hari_dalam_mm":600.0,"hujan_30_hari_dangkal_mm":300.0,"hujan_harian_mm":43.0,"jendela_hujan_harian_hari":3,"kerentanan_inarisk_batas":[0.3333,0.6667],"kerentanan_lereng_batas_derajat":[11.3099,21.8014],"potensi":"K + P: <= 1 rendah, 2 sedang, >= 3 tinggi"},"bootstrap":{"klaster":"tanggal kejadian asal","kuantil":"inverted_cdf (tanpa interpolasi)","seed":20261102,"ulangan":2000},"catatan_lulus_gerbang":"lulus_gerbang tetap false sampai G7 dicatat (tools/record_g7.py).","desain_latar":"D26: tidak dilatih; diuji pada latar acak (D24) dan latar temporal (D14)","dibuat_pada":"2026-11-02T20:03:01+07:00","dilatih_pada_data_proyek":false,"divalidasi_ahli":false,"gerbang":{"A":{"ambang":{"auc_minimum":0.65,"ci95_bawah_di_atas":0.5},"dapat_diuji":true,"gerbang":"A di mana: kerentanan, kejadian vs latar acak (D24)","keterangan":"","lulus":false,"nilai":{"auc":0.6197,"ci95_bawah":0.5551}},"B":{"ambang":{"auc_minimum":0.6,"ci95_bawah_di_atas":0.5},"dapat_diuji":true,"gerbang":"B kapan: pemicu hujan, kejadian vs latar temporal desa yang sama (D14)","keterangan":"","lulus":false,"nilai":{"auc":0.5639,"ci95_bawah":0.4555}},"C":{"ambang":{"ci95_bawah_di_atas":1.0,"lift_minimum":2.0},"dapat_diuji":true,"gerbang":"C manfaat: lift potensi tinggi, kejadian vs latar acak","keterangan":"","lulus":false,"nilai":{"ci95_bawah":0.9783,"lift":1.6333}},"D":{"ambang":{"ci95_bawah_di_atas":{"auc":0.5,"lift":1.0},"lift_minimum":1.5,"penurunan_auc_maksimum":0.1},"dapat_diuji":true,"gerbang":"D tanpa Kab. Bogor","keterangan":"","lulus":false,"nilai":{"auc_a":0.6293,"auc_a_ci95_bawah":0.4957,"auc_b":0.5417,"auc_b_ci95_bawah":0.3608,"lift":1.5162,"lift_ci95_bawah":0.6639,"penurunan_a":-0.0096,"penurunan_b":0.0222}}},"gerbang_belum_dapat_diuji":[],"gerbang_g7":{"keterangan":"Tinjauan silang manual (docs/CEKLIS_TINJAUAN_INTERNAL.md); belum dikerjakan.","lulus":null},"informasi":{"auc_potensi_vs_latar_acak":0.5895,"tingkat_a_auc_kerentanan":0.681,"tingkat_a_auc_pemicu":0.5442,"tingkat_a_kejadian":92,"tingkat_a_lift":2.25},"keputusan":"D26","keterbatasan":["Diputuskan sesudah v0.1 dan v0.2 gagal (D26); semua aturan dibekukan sebelum evaluasi ini.","Kejadian berasal dari laporan (62% Kab. Bogor); latar bukan bukti tidak terjadi longsor (D7).","Hujan uji adalah reanalisis ERA5 (meremehkan hujan harian ekstrem); hujan operasional dari Open-Meteo.","Ambang hujan berasal dari penakar hujan se-Jawa 1981-2007 dan disebut kasar oleh penulisnya.","InaRISK menjadi masukan, jadi tidak dapat lagi dipakai sebagai pembanding independen (G6).","Kelas InaRISK memakai tiga kelas sama lebar; rentang resmi belum dikonfirmasi dari teks Perka BNPB 2/2012.","Slope cadangan adalah rata-rata desa (satuan dugaan derajat), lebih landai daripada lereng setempat."],"label":"Indeks percobaan. Belum ditinjau ahli dan bukan peringatan resmi.","lulus_gerbang":false,"lulus_gerbang_otomatis":false,"metode":"aturan_berbasis_pengetahuan","metrik":{"auc_kerentanan_vs_latar_acak":0.6197,"auc_kerentanan_vs_latar_acak_ci95":[0.5551,0.7122],"auc_pemicu_vs_latar_temporal":0.5639,"auc_pemicu_vs_latar_temporal_ci95":[0.4555,0.6634],"lift_potensi_tinggi_vs_latar_acak":1.6333,"lift_potensi_tinggi_vs_latar_acak_ci95":[0.9783,2.6087],"tanpa_bogor_auc_kerentanan":0.6293,"tanpa_bogor_auc_kerentanan_ci95":[0.4957,0.7736],"tanpa_bogor_auc_pemicu":0.5417,"tanpa_bogor_auc_pemicu_ci95":[0.3608,0.7038],"tanpa_bogor_lift":1.5162,"tanpa_bogor_lift_ci95":[0.6639,2.8409]},"sampel":{"baris":1278,"cakupan":1.0,"dibuang":{},"jumlah_awal":{"kejadian":213,"latar_acak":639,"latar_temporal":426},"kejadian":213,"latar":1065,"latar_acak":639,"latar_temporal":426,"positif":213,"sumber_kerentanan_kejadian":{"inarisk":158,"lereng":55},"sumber_kerentanan_latar_acak":{"inarisk":496,"lereng":143},"tanggal_kejadian_unik":38},"sebaran_kelas":{"kerentanan_kejadian":{"rendah":64,"sedang":68,"tinggi":81},"kerentanan_latar_acak":{"rendah":317,"sedang":187,"tinggi":135},"pemicu_kejadian":{"rendah":113,"sedang":94,"tinggi":6},"pemicu_latar_temporal":{"rendah":282,"sedang":132,"tinggi":12},"potensi_kejadian":{"rendah":99,"sedang":65,"tinggi":49},"potensi_latar_acak":{"rendah":406,"sedang":143,"tinggi":90}},"status":"calon_belum_dibekukan","sumber_aturan":["InaRISK BNPB (indeks bahaya longsor 0-1), tiga kelas sama lebar","Permen PU 22/PRT/M/2007, tipologi lereng 20% dan 40% (cadangan bila InaRISK kosong)","Hadmoko dkk. 2017, Forum Geografi 31(1): hujan 30 hari 300 dan 600 mm, hujan harian 43 mm (Jawa)"],"tingkat_label":"B","versi":"v1-pengetahuan-2026-11-02"},"success":true}